🎯 Other
OpenAI market share this week

OpenAI market share this week — Above 17.8%

Live
Resolves Oct 12, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

If OpenAI scores above 17.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · OpenAI market share this week

OpenAI market share this week — Above 14.1%
96%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 16.5%
56%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 17.5%
48%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 18.1%
46%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 18.4%
45%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 18.7%
28%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 19.8%
4%
OpenAI market share this week — Above 21.9%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Kalshi
50%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 12, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen