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Oscar Winner: Best Picture

Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Black Ball

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$285
Liquidity
$333k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 24%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If The Black Ball has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar Winner: Best Picture

Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Odyssey
52%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
11%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
4%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
2%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Debut
2%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary
2%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Hope
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Primetime
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Death of Robin Hood
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Digger
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Club Kid
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Being Heumann
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Behemoth
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Obsession
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Tie
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Disclosure Day
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Avengers: Doomsday
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Narnia: The Magician's Nephew
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Social Reckoning
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Parallel Tales
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Entertainment System Is Down
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Ink
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Paper Tiger
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Josephine
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Invite
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Cry to Heaven
1%
Oscar Winner: Best Picture — Artificial
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
24%
probability of YES
Kalshi
24%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$285
Liquidity$333k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen