🎯 Other
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? — Before November 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 17%.

About this market

If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? — Before January 1, 2027
29%
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? — Before December 1, 2026
19%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
17%
probability of YES
Kalshi
17%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen