🎯 Other
Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Number of rate hikes in 2026? — Exactly 1

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
19%
No
81%
No (81%)Yes (19%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$19k
Liquidity
$21k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 19%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Number of rate hikes in 2026? — Exactly 2
54%
Number of rate hikes in 2026? — Exactly 3
38%
Number of rate hikes in 2026? — At least 4
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
19%
probability of YES
Kalshi
19%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$19k
Liquidity$21k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen