🗳️ Elections

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
Kalshi
17%
Vol $87
Trade on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$87
Liquidity
$4k

About this market

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Elections
63%
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Elections
2%
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
Elections
43%
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
Elections
15%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
18%
probability of YES
Kalshi
17%Trade
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$87
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen