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Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Texas

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1
Liquidity
$15k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 97%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Texas legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Ohio
99%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — California
97%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Florida
97%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Tennessee
96%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Louisiana
96%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — North Carolina
95%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Alabama
6%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Utah
4%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — South Carolina
4%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Virginia
3%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Minnesota
3%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — New Jersey
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Arizona
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Nebraska
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Mississippi
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Illinois
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Washington
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Georgia
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Wisconsin
2%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Missouri
1%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Indiana
1%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Maryland
0%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — New York
0%
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Kansas
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
97%
probability of YES
Kalshi
97%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1
Liquidity$15k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen