🎯 Other
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

SpaceX Starship 15th launch? — Before Oct 30, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 38%.

About this market

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

SpaceX Starship 15th launch? — Before Dec 11, 2026
96%
SpaceX Starship 15th launch? — Before Nov 13, 2026
86%
SpaceX Starship 15th launch? — Before Nov 27, 2026
86%
SpaceX Starship 15th launch? — Before Oct 16, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Kalshi
38%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen