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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 80,500 MW

Live
Resolves Sep 26, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 97%.

About this market

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 25, 2026 is above 80,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 80,000 MW
99%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 81,000 MW
99%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 79,000 MW
99%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 79,500 MW
99%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 81,500 MW
5%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 84,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 82,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 89,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 83,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 82,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 88,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 84,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 86,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 86,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 87,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 85,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 88,500 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 83,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 87,000 MW
1%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 25, 2026 — Above 85,000 MW
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
97%
probability of YES
Kalshi
97%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 26, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen