Poland vs Romania — Tie

Live

Resolves Oct 4, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

22%

78%

No (78%)Yes (22%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved down 21pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Tie is the result of the Poland vs Romania professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Poland vs Romania

Poland vs Romania — Poland

64%

Poland vs Romania — Romania

15%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

22%

probability of YES

Kalshi

22%Check

TG WA

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Resolution

Oct 4, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$5k

Liquidity$5k

CategorySports

StatusOpen