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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.39% or above

Live
Resolves Oct 8, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.13% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.11% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.15% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.19% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.17% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.21% or above
92%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.23% or above
75%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.25% or above
71%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.27% or above
19%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.29% or above
4%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.37% or above
2%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.35% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.31% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026? — 5.33% or above
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 8, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen