🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.95% or above
Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$237
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 99%. Kalshi has moved up 23pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.73% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.67% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.83% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.69% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.61% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.91% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.75% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.09% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.63% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.11% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.71% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.81% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.07% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.93% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.77% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.87% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.97% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.85% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.79% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.05% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.89% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.01% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.03% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.11% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.99% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.65% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.13% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.15% or above
97%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.13% or above
95%
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.15% or above
94%
Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$237
CategoryOther
StatusOpen