🎯 Other
MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year

MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Ariana Grande

Live
Resolves Sep 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$14k
Liquidity
$37k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 25%. Kalshi has moved up 20pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Ariana Grande wins Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year

MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Taylor Swift
66%
MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Madonna
12%
MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Tie
1%
MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Sabrina Carpenter
1%
MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Bruno Mars
1%
MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — GENER8ION
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Kalshi
25%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14k
Liquidity$37k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen