🎯 Other
Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus released this year? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$135k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$135k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen