🎯 Other
Measles cases in 2026?

Measles cases in 2026? — Above 4000

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$85k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Measles cases in 2026?

Measles cases in 2026? — Above 3000
99%
Measles cases in 2026? — Above 6000
59%
Measles cases in 2026? — Above 8000
17%
Measles cases in 2026? — Above 10000
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$85k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen