Sports

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

Live
Resolves Oct 12, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
43%
No
57%
No (57%)Yes (43%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$80
Liquidity
$123

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 43%. Polymarket has moved up 31pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
43%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 12, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$80
Liquidity$123
CategorySports
StatusOpen