🎯 Other
Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026? — Category 3 or higher landfall

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

If a Category 3 or higher hurricane makes landfall in the Northeast United States between October 6, 2026 at 11:30:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen