⚽ Sports
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$15k
Liquidity
$135k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 22%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
22%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15k
Liquidity$135k
CategorySports
StatusOpen