🗳️ Elections

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Polymarket
10%
Vol $43k
Trade on Polymarket
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$43k
Liquidity
$1.3m

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$43k
Liquidity$1.3m
CategoryElections
StatusOpen
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?