🎯 Other

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

63%

37%

No (37%)Yes (63%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 63%. Polymarket has moved up 35pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.

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Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

63%