🎯 Other

Alcatraz reopened in 2026?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Polymarket
50%
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
50%Trade
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?