🎯 Other

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Live

Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

50%

No (50%)Yes (50%)

Check on Polymarket →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.