🎯 Other

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
17%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryOther
StatusOpen