🎯 Other

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryOther
StatusOpen