Crypto

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
56%
No
44%
No (44%)Yes (56%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
56%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen