🎯 Other

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
90%
No
10%
No (10%)Yes (90%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
90%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryOther
StatusOpen