Crypto

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
28%
No
72%
No (72%)Yes (28%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
28%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen