🎯 Other

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Polymarket
50%
Trade on Polymarket →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Other
50%
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Other
50%
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Other
50%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Other
50%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
50%Trade
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen