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Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — Hike 1-25bps

Live
Resolves Sep 28, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 11pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — Maintain current rate
2%
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — Cut 1-25bps
2%
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — Hike more than 25bps
1%
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — Cut more than 25bps
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
98%
probability of YES
Kalshi
98%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 28, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen