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Tesla total deliveries in Q3

Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 490000

Live
Resolves Jan 30, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$644
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 30%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 490000 total deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Tesla total deliveries in Q3

Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 440000
96%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 450000
94%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 445000
92%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 460000
87%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 465000
86%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 455000
85%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 470000
83%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 475000
82%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 480000
70%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 485000
50%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 505000
29%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 515000
20%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 510000
14%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 500000
14%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 495000
13%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — Above 520000
12%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Kalshi
30%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 30, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$644
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen