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Texas crude oil production in 2026

Texas crude oil production in 2026 — Above 5.6 million barrels/day

Live
Resolves Mar 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.6 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Texas crude oil production in 2026

Texas crude oil production in 2026 — Above 5.7 million barrels/day
94%
Texas crude oil production in 2026 — Above 5.8 million barrels/day
42%
Texas crude oil production in 2026 — Above 5.9 million barrels/day
6%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
98%
probability of YES
Kalshi
98%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Mar 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$6k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen