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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 84,000 MW

Live
Resolves Sep 23, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
87%
No
13%
No (13%)Yes (87%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 87%.

About this market

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 22, 2026 is above 84,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 79,000 MW
99%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 82,000 MW
97%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 80,000 MW
96%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 83,000 MW
95%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 81,000 MW
92%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 84,500 MW
50%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 85,000 MW
16%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 87,000 MW
13%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 88,000 MW
10%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 86,000 MW
4%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 22, 2026 — Above 89,000 MW
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
87%
probability of YES
Kalshi
87%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 23, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen