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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Gonzalo

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$305
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 24%. Kalshi has moved up 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a storm named Gonzalo is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Fay
42%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Hanna
21%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Isaias
6%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Josephine
5%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Nana
4%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Marco
4%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Dolly
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Edouard
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Leah
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Arthur
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Paulette
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Rene
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Teddy
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Omar
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Bertha
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Sally
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Cristobal
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Wilfred
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Kyle
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Vicky
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
24%
probability of YES
Kalshi
24%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$305
Liquidity$6k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen