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What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? — Above 4.5 million

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$15k
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series is above 4.5 million in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen