🎯 Other
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?

When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Oct 15, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 15, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 61%. Kalshi has moved up 31pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 74mph) forms in the Atlantic before Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?

When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Dec 1, 2026
71%
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Nov 1, 2026
70%
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Nov 15, 2026
60%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
61%
probability of YES
Kalshi
61%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen