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🎯 Other
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? — Before 2027

Closed
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$32k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Kalshi
12%
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
closed
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$32k
CategoryOther
StatusClosed