Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Live

Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (1%)Yes (99%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 99%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.