🎯 Other

Will James Talarico outperform the polls?

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
48%
No
52%
No (52%)Yes (48%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 48%.

About this market

If James Talarico's margin of victory outperforms that of the Real Clear Polling average at 10 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026 in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
48%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 10, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen