⚽ Sports
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live
Resolves Oct 31, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$66k
Liquidity
$137k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
All outcomes · Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
55%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
23%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Resolution
Oct 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$66k
Liquidity$137k
CategorySports
StatusOpen