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Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$965
Liquidity
$18k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%. Polymarket has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$965
Liquidity$18k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen