🎯 Other

Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 18%.

About this market

If Rospotrebnadzor announces the identification of a specific pathogen as the cause of the fatal pneumonia of an Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute employee before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
18%
probability of YES
Kalshi
18%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen