🎯 Other
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$709
Liquidity
$26k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 3%. Polymarket has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
All outcomes · How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
3%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
3%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
3%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?
1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
1%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$709
Liquidity$26k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen