Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026? — 5.50% or higher

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%.

About this market

If the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year generic constant-maturity tenor is at least 5.50% on any business day from October 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT through October 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM EDT, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.