Live · 2026 Midterms
Who winsthe midterms?The market knows before the pundits do.
Real-time governor, Senate and presidential odds from Kalshi — plus the administration watch and international races.
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🗳️ 2028 · FavoriteLive
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Odds23%
View market →Updated every 2 min · predictionmarkets.exchange
2026 Midterms
1888
Active election markets
93
Governor & Senate races
$253.7M
Combined liquidity
$1.6M
24h volume
2026 Midterms
The main event
2028 presidential race
Already trading
#1
J.D. Vance
23%
#2
Jon Ossoff
12%
#3
Marco Rubio
11%
#4
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
#5
Gavin Newsom
8%
#6
Kamala Harris
4%
#7
Mark Kelly
3%
#8
Pete Buttigieg
3%
#9
Donald J. Trump
3%
#10
Ron DeSantis
3%
#11
Andy Beshear
3%
#12
Josh Shapiro
3%
#13
Rahm Emanuel
2%
#14
Wes Moore
2%
#15
Tucker Carlson
2%
#16
James Talarico
1%
#17
Donald J. Trump Jr.
1%
#18
Hunter Biden
1%
#19
Ro Khanna
1%
#20
Thomas Massie
1%
#21
J.B. Pritzker
1%
#22
Jamie Dimon
1%
#23
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
#24
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
#25
Vivek Ramaswamy
0%
#26
Glenn Youngkin
0%
#27
Greg Abbott
0%
#28
Stephen A. Smith
0%
#29
Nikki Haley
0%
#30
Tim Walz
0%
Administration watch
What happens next
What Will Trump Say This Month
Countries Trump Will Mention
Companies Trump Will Mention
What Trump Will Say
Pardon Watch
Administration Departures
Next Press Secretary
Beyond the US
International elections
🇫🇷 France
🇩🇪 Germany (Saxony-Anhalt)
Policy & institutions
The rest of the board
Bills to Become Law
Next Supreme Court Justice
Federal Charges Watch
How it works
Why prediction markets beat pundits
01
Real money, real stakes
Unlike polls or pundit takes, prediction market traders put real money behind their views. Financial stakes filter out noise and produce more accurate probabilities than any single poll.
02
CFTC-regulated exchange
We source election data from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange. No offshore markets, no legally ambiguous platforms — credible data you can cite in print.
03
Updated every 2 minutes
Probabilities shift after every debate, poll release, and news cycle. Our systems pull fresh data every 2 minutes, around the clock.
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