🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.25% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.17% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.11% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.15% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.13% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.19% or above
96%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.21% or above
85%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.23% or above
59%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.27% or above
5%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.29% or above
4%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.35% or above
4%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.31% or above
2%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.39% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.33% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.37% or above
1%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen