🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.27% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$872
Liquidity
$151
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.26% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.17% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.11% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.15% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.13% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.19% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.21% or above
97%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.23% or above
92%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.25% or above
90%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.29% or above
58%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.33% or above
39%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.31% or above
38%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.35% or above
13%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.37% or above
7%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.39% or above
2%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$872
Liquidity$151
CategoryOther
StatusOpen