🔒
Market Closed
This market is no longer active. Trading is unavailable.
📊 Macro
2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?

2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day? — At least 18bps

Closed
Resolves Jul 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$148

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 18bps, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jul 29, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$148
CategoryMacro
StatusClosed