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Market Closed
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📊 Macro
2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?
2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day? — At least 8bps
Closed
Resolves Jul 29, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
67%
No
33%
No (33%)Yes (67%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$101
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 67%. Kalshi has moved down 24pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 8bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jul 29, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$101
CategoryMacro
StatusClosed