Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Closed

Resolves Jul 21, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

50%

No (50%)Yes (50%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Closed

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 50%. Polymarket has moved down 49pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Elections

50%

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Elections

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Elections

29%

Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices?

Elections

14%

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Avg probability