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Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Erling Haaland

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
75%
No
25%
No (25%)Yes (75%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$67
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 75%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Erling Haaland is ranked top 10 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Kylian Mbappé
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Harry Kane
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Lamine Yamal
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
98%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Lionel Messi
97%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Rodri
94%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Michael Olise
90%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Ousmane Dembélé
90%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Fabián Ruiz
73%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Sadio Mané
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Dayot Upamecano
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Marquinhos
58%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — William Saliba
42%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Jude Bellingham
29%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Pau Cubarsí
16%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — João Neves
16%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Declan Rice
16%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Marc Cucurella
10%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Vitinha
9%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Nuno Mendes
9%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Luis Díaz
8%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Willian Pacho
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Lautaro Martínez
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Julián Quiñones
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Ferran Torres
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Achraf Hakimi
5%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Bruno Fernandes
5%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Gabriel
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Vinícius Júnior
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
75%
probability of YES
Kalshi
75%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$67
Liquidity$1k
CategorySports
StatusOpen