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Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — João Neves

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved up 91pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If João Neves is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Harry Kane
97%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Lamine Yamal
89%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Kylian Mbappé
82%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — William Saliba
65%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Dayot Upamecano
65%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Marquinhos
65%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Julián Quiñones
65%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Marc Cucurella
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Sadio Mané
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Nuno Mendes
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Gabriel
63%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Willian Pacho
63%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Declan Rice
44%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Luis Díaz
43%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Vinícius Júnior
41%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Bruno Fernandes
37%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Lautaro Martínez
36%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Achraf Hakimi
29%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Rodri
15%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Lionel Messi
14%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Ousmane Dembélé
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Fabián Ruiz
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Erling Haaland
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Michael Olise
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Vitinha
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Jude Bellingham
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Pau Cubarsí
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Ferran Torres
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategorySports
StatusOpen